Market Week: June 2, 2014

Market/Index 2013 Close Prior Week As of 5/30 Weekly Change YTD Change
DJIA 16576.66 16606.27 16717.17 .67% .85%
Nasdaq 4176.59 4185.81 4242.62 1.36% 1.58%
S&P 500 1848.36 1900.53 1923.57 1.21% 4.07%
Russell 2000 1163.64 1126.19 1134.50 .74% -2.50%
Global Dow 2484.10 2550.46 2564.35 .54% 3.23%
Fed. Funds .25% .25% .25% 0 bps 0 bps
10-year Treasuries 3.04% 2.54% 2.48% -6 bps -56 bps

Chart reflects price changes, not total return. Because it does not include dividends or splits, it should not be used to benchmark performance of specific investments.

Last Week’s Headlines

  • Rather than stalling, as previously estimated, the U.S. economy actually contracted at an annualized rate of 1% during 2014’s first quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis said businesses’ investment in building up inventories was lower than previously estimated and was a major factor in the downward revision of its GDP estimate, which was widely expected to be disappointing. It was the weakest growth rate in three years. Consumer spending was up 3.1%, but couldn’t offset the cost of higher imports and declines in capital investments and spending by state and local governments.
  • Durable goods orders rose 0.8% in April–the third straight monthly increase. The Census Bureau said the 2.3% increase in defense-related spending on transportation equipment was the most significant factor; business spending on capital equipment was down 1% for the month.
  • Home prices were up 0.9% in the 20 cities measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index for March.
  • After a strong March, consumer spending slid 0.1% in April; the Commerce Department said it was the first monthly decline in a year. However, at least part of the decline was the result of lower heating costs as winter finally wound down. Personal income rose 0.3%, but that was the smallest monthly gain so far in 2014. However, coupled with the decline in spending, that allowed people to save more; the savings rate for individuals was 4% compared to March’s 3.6%.
  • The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 4.12% last week. Mortgage giant Freddie Mac said that’s the lowest it’s been since last October; however, it’s still higher than last May’s 3.81%. Mortgage rates have been cited as one reason for recent sluggishness in the housing market’s recovery.

Eye on the Week Ahead

As always, unemployment numbers will be of interest, as will Institute for Supply Management reports on both the manufacturing and services sectors. Investors also will watch to see whether the European Central Bank follows through on hints it might adopt measures to stimulate the economy there.

 

 

Data sources: Economic: Based on data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (unemployment, inflation); U.S. Department of Commerce (GDP, corporate profits, retail sales, housing); S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index (home prices); Institute for Supply Management (manufacturing/services). Performance: Based on data reported in WSJ Market Data Center (indexes); U.S. Treasury (Treasury yields); U.S. Energy Information Administration/Bloomberg.com Market Data (oil spot price, WTI Cushing, OK); http://www.goldprice.org (spot gold/silver); Oanda/FX Street (currency exchange rates). All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2,000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indices listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.

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